Tia is confirmed at the 2025 CrossFit Games in Albany and she'll be gunning for her eighth championship—another milestone in a storied career. Will her dominance continue, or are challengers finally laying in wait? The field may be smaller, but the drama is bigger than ever.
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The G.O.A.T. Is Back
Tia-Clair's run has been historic:
A six-time consecutive champion from 2018–2023, including her iconic 2022 win with a staggering 360-point margin over Katrín Davíðsdóttir.
She returned to claim victory at the 2025 Torian Pro, winning five of six scored events and securing her Games spot.
Despite minimal Opened participation—she finished around 144th worldwide—her competitive instinct and experience make her the favorite to win.
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Who Can Challenge the Queen? Key Threats
Laura Horváth
While not competing at Games this year due to personal circumstances, she remains a serious name in preview discussions and a benchmark for performance. In her absence, the door swings open for others.
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Gabriela Migała
Second-place at the 2024 Games and a consistent podium presence, Gabi is perhaps the most logical challenger in the field. Her strength and scoring consistency make her dangerous in both mash-up and met-con formats.
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Madeline Sturt, Danielle Brandon, Haley Adams, Arielle Loewen
All solid veterans from the 2024 top‑10, each capable of strong finishes in technical or engine-testing events. While inconsistent across formats, they’re the best outside of Toomey in the field.
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Alex Gazan, Brooke Wells
Recent competition presence, including at the Rogue Invitational, puts these athletes firmly in “podium watch” territory—especially if strength events are prioritized.
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Why Tia Remains the Favorite
No star names like Laura Horváth, Emma Lawson, or Alex Gazan appear to be competing in Albany this year, reducing depth at the very top.
With her unmatched experience, poise under pressure, and consistency across events—her margin projections are staggering. Analysts expect her to dominate by 200+ points in the 2025 field.
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🔍 Matchup Breakdown: What It Comes Down To
FactorWhy It Favors TiaExperienceNearly a decade at the top of elite competitionEvent BreadthWins across all formats—from endurance to gymnasticsComposure & StrategyFewer surprises; makes low-risk choices under pressureField DepthLack of major head-to-head names like Horváth or Lawson
The Wild Cards
Tia is human—her HYROX focus this year delayed her CrossFit kick-off, and she has spoken of fatigue and mental challenge.
A younger rookie making a surprise run? Possible. But with only 17 first-timers in the field, none have a proven track record to shake the podium.
If any event heavily favors gymnastics or skill, it could open minor gaps to the top—but not enough to realistically dethrone her.
Final Word: Will She Win?
Everything we know points to yes. With the competition field lacking former finalists like Horváth and Lawson, the path for a dominant title run is clear:
Tia’s record and strengths align perfectly with the anticipated event lineup.
Subjective previews from CrossFit media suggest her margin of victory will exceed 200 points.
Only a breakdown in consistency or a surprise breakout is likely to disrupt.
Bottom Line
Unless the Games introduced heavy surprises or skill-heavy events play out in unusual ways, Tia-Clair Toomey‑Orr looks poised to capture her eighth title and write yet another chapter of CrossFit history.